Futures

Futures are contracts to buy or sell a specific underlying asset at a future date.

What are Futures?

Futures are like that friend who promises to lend you money at a specific rate tomorrow, regardless of how wealthy—or broke—you are then! They’re legally binding contracts obligating the buyer to purchase or the seller to sell an underlying asset (like a commodity or stock) at a predetermined price on a specified date in the future. Think of it as ordering a pizza in advance; you get the toppings at tonight’s price, even if pizzeria inflation strikes tomorrow!

Main Features of Futures

  • Obligation to Execute: Both parties must uphold their end of the deal at the expiration date.
  • Standardization: Futures contracts are standardized for quantity and quality.
  • Trading Venues: Generally traded on regulated exchanges like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Futures vs Options: A Little Comparison

Feature Futures Options
Obligatory Action Must buy/sell at expiration Right, but not obligation to buy/sell
Premium No premium, but margin is required Requires upfront premium payment
Risk Higher risk since both parties must transact Limited to the premium paid for the option
Underlying Asset Can be a commodity or security Primarily derived securities or indexes
Expiration Strict expiration date Various expiration dates

Examples

  • Commodity Futures: A farmer signs a futures contract to sell 100 bushels of wheat at $5 per bushel in three months.
  • Stock Market Futures: An investor enters a futures contract to buy shares of XYZ Corporation at $100 each on a date three months ahead.
  • Derivatives: Financial contracts whose value is derived from the performance of an underlying entity.
  • Hedging: A risk management strategy used to offset potential losses in investments.
  • Margin: A good faith deposit required to trade futures contracts, serving as collateral.

Illustrative Formula and Diagram

Here’s a simple formula to calculate the profit or loss from a futures position:

    graph TD;
	    A[Buy Futures Contract] -->|Price Increase| B[Sell Contract at Market Price]
	    A -->|Price Decrease| C[Loss incurred]

You can also express potential profit or loss with this formula:

Profit/Loss = (Market Price at Expiration - Futures Price) * Number of Contracts

Humorous Quotes & Fun Facts

  • “Futures contracts are like that last slice of pizza; everyone wants it, but not everybody can handle the commitment of sharing.”
  • Fun Fact: Did you know that oil futures are traded with such enthusiasm they sometimes sell for more than New Year’s Eve tickets?

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: Can I buy futures for any asset?
A: Not quite! You can trade futures for commodities like oil and gold, as well as securities like indices, but you can’t futz around with everything under the sun!

Q: What happens if I can’t fulfill my futures contract obligations?
A: In financially-land, where futures reign supreme, you risk default—a situation nobody wants to be in, much like showing up to a potluck with empty hands!

Q: Is futures trading just for professional traders?
A: While many pros dominate this space, amateur traders can also engage, as long as they’re upfront about their strategies (and snacks, of course).

  • Investopedia - Futures
  • “Futures 101: From the Trading Floor to the Back Office” by David A. Derienzo
  • “Option Volatility and Pricing” by Sheldon Natenberg

Test Your Knowledge: Futures Contracts Quiz

## What is a futures contract? - [x] A contract to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price in the future - [ ] A casual agreement between friends over coffee - [ ] Insurance for stocks - [ ] A long-term relationship commitment > **Explanation:** A futures contract is indeed a formal agreement to transact an asset in the future, unlike a coffee deal that may go cold. ## In futures trading, who is obliged to sell? - [x] The seller - [ ] The buyer - [ ] Both have no obligations - [ ] Only participants not wearing shoes > **Explanation:** In futures, the seller is obligated to fulfill the contract terms at maturation (hopefully wearing shoes). ## Which of the following can underlie a futures contract? - [ ] Stocks - [ ] Commodities - [ ] Currency - [x] All of the above > **Explanation:** All listed options can indeed serve as the thrilling foundation for a futures contract! ## Unlike options, futures contracts... - [ ] Give you a choice - [x] Are mandatory - [ ] Come with pizza - [ ] Have more users > **Explanation:** Unlike options, futures contracts bind parties to execute—no back-outs, not even for pizza! ## What risk is associated with futures trading? - [ ] Zero risk, high reward - [ ] Gi-normous risk due to mandatory purchase/sale - [x] High risk due to potential financial obligation - [ ] Risk of Tripping over contracts > **Explanation:** The true risk sits in being obliged to the contract terms, possibly leading to financial chaos...or a delicious pizza order gone rogue. ## If you get a futures contract at $100 and the market price at expiration is $90, what is the result? - [ ] Profit of $10 - [x] Loss of $10 - [ ] Break-even - [ ] New pizza order needed > **Explanation:** In this case, you'd face a loss; the pizza delivery man doesn't accept sad futures contracts! ## Can futures be traded after expiration? - [ ] Absolutely, on a pizza basis - [x] No, they settle at expiration - [ ] Only if the weather is fair - [ ] Yes, and they gain more toppings > **Explanation:** Futures contracts settle after their expiration, leaving no further trading to spoil your next feast of choice! ## What kind of market primarily trades futures? - [ ] Over-the-counter retailers - [ ] Sporting events - [x] Regulated exchanges - [ ] Birthday parties > **Explanation:** Futures are traded on regulated exchanges, not just during birthday festivities, though cake is always a win! ## A margin in futures trading refers to: - [ ] A cushion for sitting for long periods - [ ] Profit margin - [x] A good faith deposit to secure trades - [ ] Margin for pizza shares > **Explanation:** In trading, margin pertains to that deposit securing your contracts, not a comfy seat to mull over delicious pizza toppings! ## The value of a futures contract derives from: - [x] The underlying asset - [ ] General happiness - [ ] The weather conditions - [ ] Personalized motivational speeches > **Explanation:** The contract's value is tethered to the performance of the underlying asset, making pizza motivation irrelevant!

Thank you for taking this financial journey with futures! Remember: in the complex world of trading, always read the fine print—or just enjoy some pizza for good encouragement!

Sunday, August 18, 2024

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